A pragmatic, performance‐based approach to levee safety assessments
نویسندگان
چکیده
Flood prone areas are often protected against flooding by an extensive network of flood defenses. To ensure their structural integrity, these defenses periodically assessed. Many levees have been functioning well for decades, and survived several relatively high hydraulic loads within lifetime. However, information on load conditions is seldom included in levee safety assessments. Observed degradation from inspections also not taken into account. That way, that useful to improve the accuracy estimations actual strength remains unexploited. This study proposes a pragmatic approach include observations assessment. consists three steps: (1) prior estimation failure probability, based characteristics, (2) posterior observed loads, (3) correction probability estimation, inspections. In case study, estimated probabilities using this were much lower than when performance was included. demonstrates value how they could be
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Flood Risk Management
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['1753-318X']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12836